Moore's law

E32615
empirical observation technological prediction

Moore's law is an observation and prediction that the number of transistors on an integrated circuit—and thus computing power—tends to roughly double at regular intervals, driving exponential growth in digital technology.


Statements (54)
Predicate Object
instanceOf empirical observation
technological prediction
appliesTo integrated circuits
microprocessors
transistor density
assumes continuous advances in semiconductor fabrication
improvements in manufacturing yield
shrinking transistor feature sizes
coreIdea computing power tends to double at regular intervals
number of transistors on an integrated circuit doubles at regular intervals
describes exponential growth of transistor counts
scaling of integrated circuit complexity
trend in semiconductor technology advancement
effectOn computing performance
consumer electronics
cost of computation
digital electronics
economic growth in tech sector
information technology industry
innovation pace in computing
field computer hardware
computer science
electronics
semiconductor industry
formulatedBy Gordon Moore
formulationYear 1965
growthType exponential growth
industryRole benchmark for technology scaling
planning tool for chip designers
roadmap for semiconductor manufacturers
influenced International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors
data center capacity planning
economic models of computing costs
microprocessor design strategies
software development expectations
limitation constrained by economic costs of fabrication plants
constrained by physical limits of miniaturization
constrained by power and heat dissipation
metric cost per transistor
transistor count per chip
transistor density
modernView continued performance gains via parallelism and specialization
slowing of transistor scaling in recent process nodes
namedAfter Gordon Moore
originalArticleTitle Cramming more components onto integrated circuits
originalPublication Electronics magazine
originalTimeInterval every 1 year
relatedConcept Dennard scaling
Koomey's law
Wirth's law
technology scaling
status empirical trend rather than physical law
timeInterval approximately every 18 months
approximately every 2 years

Referenced by (6)
Subject (surface form when different) Predicate
Gordon E. Moore
formulated
Intel Museum ("Moore's Law exhibit")
hasExhibit
Cramming more components onto integrated circuits
introducesConcept
Gordon E. Moore
knownFor
Ray Kurzweil ("law of accelerating returns")
notableIdea
Intel Museum ("Moore's Law")
subjectArea

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