Dow Theory

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Dow Theory is a foundational framework of technical analysis that interprets stock market trends and price movements to gauge the overall direction and health of the market.

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Dow Theory canonical 3

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Predicate Object
instanceOf financial market theory
stock market theory
technical analysis framework
application gauging overall market health
identifying major bull and bear markets
timing entry and exit in equity markets
assumption closing prices are more important than intraday prices
indices must confirm each other to validate a trend
markets move in trends rather than random walks over meaningful horizons
volume should expand in the direction of the primary trend
basedOnWorkOf Charles H. Dow NERFINISHED
coreConcept existence of primary, secondary, and minor trends
importance of volume in confirming price moves
market discounts all available information
trend confirmation by multiple indices
trends persist until clear reversal signals appear
developedFrom editorials in The Wall Street Journal
field finance
stock market analysis
technical analysis
furtherDevelopedBy George Schaefer NERFINISHED
Robert Rhea NERFINISHED
William Peter Hamilton NERFINISHED
influenced index confirmation techniques
market breadth analysis
modern technical analysis
trend-following investment strategies
marketPhase accumulation phase
distribution phase
public participation phase
minorTrendAlsoCalled short-term trend
minorTrendTypicalDuration less than three weeks
namedAfter Charles H. Dow NERFINISHED
originPeriod late 19th century
primaryTrendType bear market
bull market
primaryTrendTypicalDuration more than one year
publishedIn The Wall Street Journal NERFINISHED
relatedConcept efficient market hypothesis
market sentiment analysis
trend-following
secondaryTrendAlsoCalled intermediate trend
secondaryTrendTypicalDuration three weeks to three months
trendClassification minor trend
primary trend
secondary trend
usesIndex Dow Jones Industrial Average NERFINISHED
Dow Jones Transportation Average NERFINISHED
viewOnSidewaysMovements considered secondary reactions or consolidations within primary trends

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