An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances

E835243

"An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances" is the posthumously published paper by Thomas Bayes that introduced the foundational ideas of Bayesian probability theory.

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Predicate Object
instanceOf mathematical paper
probability theory paper
scientific paper
author Thomas Bayes NERFINISHED
authorDeathBeforePublication Thomas Bayes NERFINISHED
citedAs Bayes 1763 paper NERFINISHED
Bayes essay NERFINISHED
countryOfPublication Great Britain NERFINISHED
describedAs posthumously published paper by Thomas Bayes
editor Richard Price NERFINISHED
field mathematics
probability theory
statistics
hasPart discussion of updating probabilities with new evidence
geometric argument involving a billiard table
mathematical derivation of Bayes theorem
historicalSignificance foundational work in Bayesian probability theory
one of the earliest formal treatments of inverse probability
includedIn early works on the doctrine of chances
influenced development of Bayesian statistics
modern statistical inference
philosophy of probability
introducedConcept Bayes theorem NERFINISHED
Bayesian inference NERFINISHED
language English
mainSubject Bayes theorem NERFINISHED
Bayesian probability
conditional probability
inverse probability
notableFor laying groundwork for Bayesian interpretation of probability
providing a rule for revising beliefs in light of new evidence
originalTitleLanguage English
posthumousAuthorAttribution Thomas Bayes NERFINISHED
publicationYear 1763
publishedIn Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London NERFINISHED
publishedPosthumously true
publisher Royal Society of London NERFINISHED
relatedConcept Bayesian updating NERFINISHED
posterior probability
prior probability
relatedWork Bayes theorem NERFINISHED
timeOfWriting 18th century
topic inductive reasoning
probability of causes given events

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Thomas Bayes notableWork An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances
Thomas Bayes authorOf An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances
Thomas Bayes posthumousPublication An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances