Newcomb–Benford law

E167726

The Newcomb–Benford law is a statistical principle stating that in many naturally occurring datasets, the leading digits are distributed logarithmically, with smaller digits (especially 1) appearing as the first digit more frequently than larger ones.

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All labels observed (4)

Label Occurrences
Benford 1
Benford's law 1
Newcomb–Benford law canonical 1

Statements (52)

Predicate Object
instanceOf law of anomalous numbers
probability distribution law
statistical law
alsoKnownAs Newcomb–Benford law
surface form: Benford's law

Newcomb–Benford law
surface form: first-digit law
appliesTo financial data
geographical data
many naturally occurring numerical datasets
physical constants
population numbers
scientific measurements
BenfordContribution collected large datasets to empirically confirm the law
BenfordPublicationYear 1938
category empirical statistical regularity
coreIdea smaller leading digits occur more frequently than larger leading digits
describes distribution of leading digits in many real-world datasets
doesNotTypicallyApplyTo assigned numbers such as telephone numbers
lottery numbers
numbers with fixed minimums and maximums
field applied mathematics
probability theory
statistics
historicalDeveloper Frank Benford
historicalPrecursor Simon Newcomb
leadingDigitDomain d ∈ {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9}
leadingDigitProbabilityFormula P(d) = log10(1 + 1/d)
mathematicalBasis invariance under scale transformations
logarithmic distribution of leading digits
NewcombObservation logarithm tables were more worn at the beginning than at the end
NewcombPublicationYear 1881
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit1 approximately 0.301
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit2 approximately 0.176
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit3 approximately 0.125
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit4 approximately 0.097
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit5 approximately 0.079
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit6 approximately 0.067
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit7 approximately 0.058
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit8 approximately 0.051
predictsProbabilityOfLeadingDigit9 approximately 0.046
property base invariance (approximately)
scale invariance
relatedConcept Zipf's law
law of large numbers
mantissa distribution of logarithms
typicalDatasetCondition data spanning several orders of magnitude
no artificial minimum or maximum constraints
usedIn auditing
detection of data manipulation
election data analysis
forensic accounting
fraud detection
quality control of datasets

Referenced by (4)

Full triples — surface form annotated when it differs from this entity's canonical label.

Simon Newcomb knownFor Newcomb–Benford law
Gregory Benford familyName Newcomb–Benford law
this entity surface form: Benford
Newcomb–Benford law alsoKnownAs Newcomb–Benford law
this entity surface form: Benford's law
Newcomb–Benford law alsoKnownAs Newcomb–Benford law
this entity surface form: first-digit law