Triple

T6033456
Position Surface form Disambiguated ID Type / Status
Subject Daniel Ellsberg E134361 entity
Predicate notableWork P4 FINISHED
Object Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms
"Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
E564105 NE FINISHED

How this triple was built (4 steps)

Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.

NER Named-entity recognition gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms | Statement: [Daniel Ellsberg, notableWork, Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms]
NED1 Entity disambiguation (via context triple) gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms
Context triple: [Daniel Ellsberg, notableWork, Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms]
  • A. Models of Bounded Rationality
    Models of Bounded Rationality is a collection of Herbert A. Simon’s influential works that develop the concept of bounded rationality, explaining how real-world decision-making is constrained by limited information, cognitive capacity, and time.
  • B. Risk, Uncertainty and Profit
    Risk, Uncertainty and Profit is a foundational 1921 work in economics that distinguishes measurable risk from unmeasurable uncertainty and links entrepreneurial profit to bearing such uncertainty.
  • C. Allais paradox
    The Allais paradox is a famous decision-making puzzle in behavioral economics that shows how people's choices under risk often violate the expected utility theory, revealing systematic inconsistencies in rational choice models.
  • D. expected utility theory (with John von Neumann)
    Expected utility theory (with John von Neumann) is a foundational framework in economics and decision theory that models how rational agents make choices under uncertainty by maximizing the expected value of a utility function.
  • E. Fisherian intertemporal choice theory
    Fisherian intertemporal choice theory is an economic framework, developed by Irving Fisher, that explains how rational individuals allocate consumption and savings over time to maximize lifetime utility given their income, preferences, and interest rates.
  • F. None of above. chosen
  • G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
NEDg Description generation gpt-5.1
Instruction
Generate a one-sentence description of the target entity. 
You are given a context triple in the form (subject, predicate, object), where the object is the target entity. 
# Instructions
Use the triple to infer relevant information about the entity. Describe the entity based on what is most defining, well-known. 
Avoid repeating the information from the triple, unless really essential.
# Response Format
Return only the sentence: "Description: [one-sentence description of the target entity]"
Input
Entity: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms
Triple: [Daniel Ellsberg, notableWork, Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms]
Generated description
"Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
NED2 Entity disambiguation (via description) gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms
Target entity description: "Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
  • A. Models of Bounded Rationality
    Models of Bounded Rationality is a collection of Herbert A. Simon’s influential works that develop the concept of bounded rationality, explaining how real-world decision-making is constrained by limited information, cognitive capacity, and time.
  • B. Risk, Uncertainty and Profit
    Risk, Uncertainty and Profit is a foundational 1921 work in economics that distinguishes measurable risk from unmeasurable uncertainty and links entrepreneurial profit to bearing such uncertainty.
  • C. Allais paradox
    The Allais paradox is a famous decision-making puzzle in behavioral economics that shows how people's choices under risk often violate the expected utility theory, revealing systematic inconsistencies in rational choice models.
  • D. expected utility theory (with John von Neumann)
    Expected utility theory (with John von Neumann) is a foundational framework in economics and decision theory that models how rational agents make choices under uncertainty by maximizing the expected value of a utility function.
  • E. Fisherian intertemporal choice theory
    Fisherian intertemporal choice theory is an economic framework, developed by Irving Fisher, that explains how rational individuals allocate consumption and savings over time to maximize lifetime utility given their income, preferences, and interest rates.
  • F. None of above. chosen

Provenance (5 batches)

The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.

Step Stage Batch ID Status When
creating Elicitation batch_69c0087515148190a97475d412563865 completed March 22, 2026, 3:19 p.m.
NER Named-entity recognition batch_69c056b220608190b156be95632cf3b3 completed March 22, 2026, 8:53 p.m.
NED1 Entity disambiguation (via context triple) batch_69c113855ad08190b9ff826a2f39c356 completed March 23, 2026, 10:18 a.m.
NEDg Description generation batch_69c114ec9d0c819092de76a6712c482d completed March 23, 2026, 10:24 a.m.
NED2 Entity disambiguation (via description) batch_69c115552c188190b500d96e86410180 completed March 23, 2026, 10:26 a.m.
Created at: March 22, 2026, 4:08 p.m.