Triple
T6033456
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Daniel Ellsberg |
E134361
|
entity |
| Predicate | notableWork |
P4
|
FINISHED |
| Object |
Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms
"Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
|
E564105
|
NE FINISHED |
How this triple was built (4 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms | Statement: [Daniel Ellsberg, notableWork, Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms Context triple: [Daniel Ellsberg, notableWork, Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms]
-
A.
Models of Bounded Rationality
Models of Bounded Rationality is a collection of Herbert A. Simon’s influential works that develop the concept of bounded rationality, explaining how real-world decision-making is constrained by limited information, cognitive capacity, and time.
-
B.
Risk, Uncertainty and Profit
Risk, Uncertainty and Profit is a foundational 1921 work in economics that distinguishes measurable risk from unmeasurable uncertainty and links entrepreneurial profit to bearing such uncertainty.
-
C.
Allais paradox
The Allais paradox is a famous decision-making puzzle in behavioral economics that shows how people's choices under risk often violate the expected utility theory, revealing systematic inconsistencies in rational choice models.
-
D.
expected utility theory (with John von Neumann)
Expected utility theory (with John von Neumann) is a foundational framework in economics and decision theory that models how rational agents make choices under uncertainty by maximizing the expected value of a utility function.
-
E.
Fisherian intertemporal choice theory
Fisherian intertemporal choice theory is an economic framework, developed by Irving Fisher, that explains how rational individuals allocate consumption and savings over time to maximize lifetime utility given their income, preferences, and interest rates.
- F. None of above. chosen
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
NEDg
Description generation
gpt-5.1
Instruction
Generate a one-sentence description of the target entity. You are given a context triple in the form (subject, predicate, object), where the object is the target entity. # Instructions Use the triple to infer relevant information about the entity. Describe the entity based on what is most defining, well-known. Avoid repeating the information from the triple, unless really essential. # Response Format Return only the sentence: "Description: [one-sentence description of the target entity]"
Input
Entity: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms Triple: [Daniel Ellsberg, notableWork, Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms]
Generated description
"Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
NED2
Entity disambiguation (via description)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms Target entity description: "Risk, Ambiguity and the Savage Axioms" is a seminal 1961 paper by Daniel Ellsberg that challenges expected utility theory by demonstrating how people systematically prefer known risks over ambiguous ones, a phenomenon now known as the Ellsberg paradox.
-
A.
Models of Bounded Rationality
Models of Bounded Rationality is a collection of Herbert A. Simon’s influential works that develop the concept of bounded rationality, explaining how real-world decision-making is constrained by limited information, cognitive capacity, and time.
-
B.
Risk, Uncertainty and Profit
Risk, Uncertainty and Profit is a foundational 1921 work in economics that distinguishes measurable risk from unmeasurable uncertainty and links entrepreneurial profit to bearing such uncertainty.
-
C.
Allais paradox
The Allais paradox is a famous decision-making puzzle in behavioral economics that shows how people's choices under risk often violate the expected utility theory, revealing systematic inconsistencies in rational choice models.
-
D.
expected utility theory (with John von Neumann)
Expected utility theory (with John von Neumann) is a foundational framework in economics and decision theory that models how rational agents make choices under uncertainty by maximizing the expected value of a utility function.
-
E.
Fisherian intertemporal choice theory
Fisherian intertemporal choice theory is an economic framework, developed by Irving Fisher, that explains how rational individuals allocate consumption and savings over time to maximize lifetime utility given their income, preferences, and interest rates.
- F. None of above. chosen
Provenance (5 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69c0087515148190a97475d412563865 |
completed | March 22, 2026, 3:19 p.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69c056b220608190b156be95632cf3b3 |
completed | March 22, 2026, 8:53 p.m. |
| NED1 | Entity disambiguation (via context triple) | batch_69c113855ad08190b9ff826a2f39c356 |
completed | March 23, 2026, 10:18 a.m. |
| NEDg | Description generation | batch_69c114ec9d0c819092de76a6712c482d |
completed | March 23, 2026, 10:24 a.m. |
| NED2 | Entity disambiguation (via description) | batch_69c115552c188190b500d96e86410180 |
completed | March 23, 2026, 10:26 a.m. |
Created at: March 22, 2026, 4:08 p.m.