Triple
T234833
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Martin Armstrong |
E4485
|
entity |
| Predicate | developed |
P73
|
FINISHED |
| Object | Economic Confidence Model |
E30095
|
NE FINISHED |
How this triple was built (2 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Economic Confidence Model | Statement: [Martin Armstrong, developed, Economic Confidence Model]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Economic Confidence Model Context triple: [Martin Armstrong, developed, Economic Confidence Model]
-
A.
Economic Confidence Model
chosen
The Economic Confidence Model is Martin Armstrong’s proprietary cyclical forecasting system that predicts economic and financial market turning points based on a recurring 8.6-year cycle.
-
B.
Summary of Economic Projections
The Summary of Economic Projections is a quarterly report in which Federal Reserve policymakers present their forecasts for key U.S. economic indicators and the future path of monetary policy.
-
C.
Hamiltonian economic program
The Hamiltonian economic program was Alexander Hamilton’s comprehensive plan to strengthen the early United States’ financial system through federal assumption of state debts, creation of a national bank, and support for manufacturing and commerce.
-
D.
New Keynesian economics
New Keynesian economics is a modern macroeconomic framework that incorporates rational expectations and micro-founded price and wage rigidities to explain short-run economic fluctuations and justify active stabilization policy.
-
E.
Economics: A Very Short Introduction
"Economics: A Very Short Introduction" is a concise introductory book that explains the core principles, methods, and real-world applications of economics for a general audience.
- F. None of above.
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
Provenance (3 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69a257363ffc81909757bde7ab3404da |
completed | Feb. 28, 2026, 2:47 a.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69a25cc9ab2c81909af278a07f86aa1e |
completed | Feb. 28, 2026, 3:11 a.m. |
| NED1 | Entity disambiguation (via context triple) | batch_69a3673474548190aea1f43318d15a71 |
completed | Feb. 28, 2026, 10:07 p.m. |
Created at: Feb. 28, 2026, 2:53 a.m.