Economic Confidence Model
E30095
The Economic Confidence Model is Martin Armstrong’s proprietary cyclical forecasting system that predicts economic and financial market turning points based on a recurring 8.6-year cycle.
All labels observed (1)
| Label | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| Economic Confidence Model canonical | 4 |
How this entity was disambiguated
This entity first appeared as the object of triple T234828 — resolving that mention is where its identity was fixed. The disambiguator weighed these candidate entities and picked the highlighted one (or “None”, minting a new entity). This is how homonymy is resolved: the same surface form can point to different entities.
Target entity: Economic Confidence Model Context triple: [Martin Armstrong, notableFor, Economic Confidence Model]
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A.
Summary of Economic Projections
The Summary of Economic Projections is a quarterly report in which Federal Reserve policymakers present their forecasts for key U.S. economic indicators and the future path of monetary policy.
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B.
Hamiltonian economic program
The Hamiltonian economic program was Alexander Hamilton’s comprehensive plan to strengthen the early United States’ financial system through federal assumption of state debts, creation of a national bank, and support for manufacturing and commerce.
-
C.
New Keynesian economics
New Keynesian economics is a modern macroeconomic framework that incorporates rational expectations and micro-founded price and wage rigidities to explain short-run economic fluctuations and justify active stabilization policy.
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D.
Economics: A Very Short Introduction
"Economics: A Very Short Introduction" is a concise introductory book that explains the core principles, methods, and real-world applications of economics for a general audience.
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E.
Infitah economic policy
Infitah economic policy was Egypt’s 1970s “open-door” strategy that shifted the country from state-led socialism toward economic liberalization, foreign investment, and a greater role for the private sector.
- F. None of above. chosen
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
Target entity: Economic Confidence Model Target entity description: The Economic Confidence Model is Martin Armstrong’s proprietary cyclical forecasting system that predicts economic and financial market turning points based on a recurring 8.6-year cycle.
-
A.
Summary of Economic Projections
The Summary of Economic Projections is a quarterly report in which Federal Reserve policymakers present their forecasts for key U.S. economic indicators and the future path of monetary policy.
-
B.
Hamiltonian economic program
The Hamiltonian economic program was Alexander Hamilton’s comprehensive plan to strengthen the early United States’ financial system through federal assumption of state debts, creation of a national bank, and support for manufacturing and commerce.
-
C.
New Keynesian economics
New Keynesian economics is a modern macroeconomic framework that incorporates rational expectations and micro-founded price and wage rigidities to explain short-run economic fluctuations and justify active stabilization policy.
-
D.
Economics: A Very Short Introduction
"Economics: A Very Short Introduction" is a concise introductory book that explains the core principles, methods, and real-world applications of economics for a general audience.
-
E.
Infitah economic policy
Infitah economic policy was Egypt’s 1970s “open-door” strategy that shifted the country from state-led socialism toward economic liberalization, foreign investment, and a greater role for the private sector.
- F. None of above. chosen
Statements (42)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| instanceOf |
cyclical forecasting system
ⓘ
economic forecasting model ⓘ |
| alsoKnownAs | ECM ⓘ |
| appliesTo |
commodity markets
ⓘ
currency markets ⓘ equity markets ⓘ global economy ⓘ international capital flows ⓘ sovereign debt crises ⓘ |
| associatedPerson | Martin Armstrong ⓘ |
| associatedWith |
Martin Armstrong
ⓘ
surface form:
Armstrong Economics
|
| basedOn | 8.6-year cycle ⓘ |
| claimsToExplain |
recurrent timing of economic events
ⓘ
recurrent timing of financial market events ⓘ |
| creator | Martin Armstrong ⓘ |
| describedAs | proprietary model ⓘ |
| field |
financial markets
ⓘ
macroeconomics ⓘ |
| focusesOn | turning points rather than trend levels ⓘ |
| hasComponent |
cycle dates
ⓘ
time series of turning points ⓘ |
| hasCycleLength | 8.6 years ⓘ |
| hasKeyParameter | Pi-based 8.6-year period (approximately 3141 days) ⓘ |
| hasMathematicalBasis | cyclical periodicity ⓘ |
| hasOriginCountry |
United States of America
ⓘ
surface form:
United States
|
| hasProprietaryStatus | yes ⓘ |
| influencedBy |
historical economic data
ⓘ
historical financial market data ⓘ |
| predicts |
economic booms
ⓘ
economic busts ⓘ financial crises ⓘ market peaks ⓘ market troughs ⓘ |
| purpose |
predict economic turning points
ⓘ
predict financial market turning points ⓘ |
| timeScale |
long-term
ⓘ
medium-term ⓘ |
| usedFor |
economic risk assessment
ⓘ
investment timing ⓘ market risk assessment ⓘ |
| usesConcept |
business cycle
ⓘ
economic cycles ⓘ |
How these facts were elicited
The pipeline generated the facts above by prompting gpt-5.1 with this entity's name + description and the instruction below.
You are a knowledge base construction expert. Given a subject entity and a description of it, return factual statements that you know for the subject as a JSON list of dictionaries(triples), where keys must be "subject", "predicate" and "object". The number of facts may be very high, between 25 to 50 or more, for very popular subjects. For less popular subjects, the number of facts can be very low, like 5 or 10. # Requirements - If you don't know the subject at all, return an empty list. - If the subject is not a named entity, return an empty list. - Include at least one triple where predicate is "instanceOf". - Do not get too wordy. - Separate several objects into multiple triples with one object.
Subject: Economic Confidence Model Description of subject: The Economic Confidence Model is Martin Armstrong’s proprietary cyclical forecasting system that predicts economic and financial market turning points based on a recurring 8.6-year cycle.
Referenced by (4)
Full triples — surface form annotated when it differs from this entity's canonical label.