Economic Confidence Model

E30095

The Economic Confidence Model is Martin Armstrong’s proprietary cyclical forecasting system that predicts economic and financial market turning points based on a recurring 8.6-year cycle.

All labels observed (1)

Label Occurrences
Economic Confidence Model canonical 4

How this entity was disambiguated

Statements (42)

Predicate Object
instanceOf cyclical forecasting system
economic forecasting model
alsoKnownAs ECM
appliesTo commodity markets
currency markets
equity markets
global economy
international capital flows
sovereign debt crises
associatedPerson Martin Armstrong
associatedWith Martin Armstrong
surface form: Armstrong Economics
basedOn 8.6-year cycle
claimsToExplain recurrent timing of economic events
recurrent timing of financial market events
creator Martin Armstrong
describedAs proprietary model
field financial markets
macroeconomics
focusesOn turning points rather than trend levels
hasComponent cycle dates
time series of turning points
hasCycleLength 8.6 years
hasKeyParameter Pi-based 8.6-year period (approximately 3141 days)
hasMathematicalBasis cyclical periodicity
hasOriginCountry United States of America
surface form: United States
hasProprietaryStatus yes
influencedBy historical economic data
historical financial market data
predicts economic booms
economic busts
financial crises
market peaks
market troughs
purpose predict economic turning points
predict financial market turning points
timeScale long-term
medium-term
usedFor economic risk assessment
investment timing
market risk assessment
usesConcept business cycle
economic cycles

How these facts were elicited

Referenced by (4)

Full triples — surface form annotated when it differs from this entity's canonical label.

Martin Armstrong notableFor Economic Confidence Model
Martin Armstrong developed Economic Confidence Model
ECM fullName Economic Confidence Model
ECM abbreviationOf Economic Confidence Model