Economic Confidence Model
E30095
The Economic Confidence Model is Martin Armstrong’s proprietary cyclical forecasting system that predicts economic and financial market turning points based on a recurring 8.6-year cycle.
Statements (42)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| instanceOf |
cyclical forecasting system
→
economic forecasting model → |
| alsoKnownAs |
ECM
→
|
| appliesTo |
commodity markets
→
currency markets → equity markets → global economy → international capital flows → sovereign debt crises → |
| associatedPerson |
Martin Armstrong
→
|
| associatedWith |
Armstrong Economics
→
|
| basedOn |
8.6-year cycle
→
|
| claimsToExplain |
recurrent timing of economic events
→
recurrent timing of financial market events → |
| creator |
Martin Armstrong
→
|
| describedAs |
proprietary model
→
|
| field |
financial markets
→
macroeconomics → |
| focusesOn |
turning points rather than trend levels
→
|
| hasComponent |
cycle dates
→
time series of turning points → |
| hasCycleLength |
8.6 years
→
|
| hasKeyParameter |
Pi-based 8.6-year period (approximately 3141 days)
→
|
| hasMathematicalBasis |
cyclical periodicity
→
|
| hasOriginCountry |
United States
→
|
| hasProprietaryStatus |
yes
→
|
| influencedBy |
historical economic data
→
historical financial market data → |
| predicts |
economic booms
→
economic busts → financial crises → market peaks → market troughs → |
| purpose |
predict economic turning points
→
predict financial market turning points → |
| timeScale |
long-term
→
medium-term → |
| usedFor |
economic risk assessment
→
investment timing → market risk assessment → |
| usesConcept |
business cycle
→
economic cycles → |
Referenced by (2)
| Subject (surface form when different) | Predicate |
|---|---|
|
Martin Armstrong
→
|
developed |
|
Martin Armstrong
→
|
notableFor |