Triple
T12798002
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Carnap's continuum of inductive methods |
E305938
|
entity |
| Predicate | hasMember |
P10
|
FINISHED |
| Object |
Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case)
Laplace's rule of succession is a classical Bayesian rule for estimating the probability of an event based on observed successes and failures, assigning a nonzero prior probability to unobserved outcomes.
|
E1002836
|
NE FINISHED |
How this triple was built (4 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case) | Statement: [Carnap's continuum of inductive methods, hasMember, Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case)]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case) Context triple: [Carnap's continuum of inductive methods, hasMember, Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case)]
-
A.
Bayes’ theorem
Bayes’ theorem is a fundamental result in probability theory that describes how to update the probability of a hypothesis based on new evidence.
-
B.
Bayes rules
Bayes rules are decision rules in statistical decision theory that minimize expected loss with respect to a prior distribution, forming a central concept in Bayesian optimal decision-making.
-
C.
Bayes
Bayes is a surname most famously associated with Thomas Bayes, the 18th-century statistician and minister whose work led to the development of Bayesian probability theory.
-
D.
Pólya’s urn model
Pólya’s urn model is a classic probabilistic scheme in which drawing and then reinforcing the color of balls in an urn produces rich-get-richer dynamics and illustrates concepts like contagion, dependence, and random reinforcement.
-
E.
The Emergence of Probability
The Emergence of Probability is a seminal philosophical and historical study by Ian Hacking that traces how modern concepts of probability and statistical reasoning developed from the 16th to the 19th century.
- F. None of above. chosen
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
NEDg
Description generation
gpt-5.1
Instruction
Generate a one-sentence description of the target entity. You are given a context triple in the form (subject, predicate, object), where the object is the target entity. # Instructions Use the triple to infer relevant information about the entity. Describe the entity based on what is most defining, well-known. Avoid repeating the information from the triple, unless really essential. # Response Format Return only the sentence: "Description: [one-sentence description of the target entity]"
Input
Entity: Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case) Triple: [Carnap's continuum of inductive methods, hasMember, Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case)]
Generated description
Laplace's rule of succession is a classical Bayesian rule for estimating the probability of an event based on observed successes and failures, assigning a nonzero prior probability to unobserved outcomes.
NED2
Entity disambiguation (via description)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Laplace's rule of succession (as a special case) Target entity description: Laplace's rule of succession is a classical Bayesian rule for estimating the probability of an event based on observed successes and failures, assigning a nonzero prior probability to unobserved outcomes.
-
A.
Bayes’ theorem
Bayes’ theorem is a fundamental result in probability theory that describes how to update the probability of a hypothesis based on new evidence.
-
B.
Bayes rules
Bayes rules are decision rules in statistical decision theory that minimize expected loss with respect to a prior distribution, forming a central concept in Bayesian optimal decision-making.
-
C.
Bayes
Bayes is a surname most famously associated with Thomas Bayes, the 18th-century statistician and minister whose work led to the development of Bayesian probability theory.
-
D.
Pólya’s urn model
Pólya’s urn model is a classic probabilistic scheme in which drawing and then reinforcing the color of balls in an urn produces rich-get-richer dynamics and illustrates concepts like contagion, dependence, and random reinforcement.
-
E.
The Emergence of Probability
The Emergence of Probability is a seminal philosophical and historical study by Ian Hacking that traces how modern concepts of probability and statistical reasoning developed from the 16th to the 19th century.
- F. None of above. chosen
Provenance (5 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69d7bdf366888190a8cccb982606889c |
completed | April 9, 2026, 2:55 p.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69d96e6f858c8190915ede38e9a6a2df |
completed | April 10, 2026, 9:41 p.m. |
| NED1 | Entity disambiguation (via context triple) | batch_69f6850f9ae4819094599b48d8d3a074 |
completed | May 2, 2026, 11:13 p.m. |
| NEDg | Description generation | batch_69f685dd1a88819096e40711f10d898a |
completed | May 2, 2026, 11:16 p.m. |
| NED2 | Entity disambiguation (via description) | batch_69f68884ed348190a1b2c89b1d655fa9 |
completed | May 2, 2026, 11:28 p.m. |
Created at: April 9, 2026, 5:30 p.m.