Hubbert peak theory

E788338

Hubbert peak theory is a model in petroleum geology that predicts the production rate of oil fields or regions will follow a bell-shaped curve, peaking when roughly half the resource is extracted and then irreversibly declining.

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Statements (49)

Predicate Object
instanceOf model in petroleum geology
oil depletion model
theory
appliesTo countries
global oil production
individual oil fields
oil-producing regions
assumes finite, exhaustible resource base
geological limits dominate long-term production trends
basedOn finite nature of petroleum resources
geological constraints on production
logistic growth curve
contrastedWith economically driven supply models
coreConcept peak production occurs when roughly half the recoverable resource is extracted
post-peak production enters irreversible decline
production follows a bell-shaped curve
criticizedFor simplifying technological and economic factors
uncertainty in estimating ultimately recoverable resources
describes oil production lifecycle
production rate of a finite resource over time
rise, peak, and decline of oil production
field energy economics
petroleum geology
resource economics
hasAlternativeName Hubbert curve NERFINISHED
Hubbert peak model NERFINISHED
influenced debates on global peak oil
energy policy discussions
sustainability debates
namedAfter M. King Hubbert NERFINISHED
notableApplication prediction of peak oil in the continental United States
predictionMadeIn 1956
predicts decline rates after peak
shape of production curve
timing of peak oil production
proposedBy M. King Hubbert NERFINISHED
proposedIn 1950s
relatedTo energy security
fossil fuel depletion
peak oil
resource depletion
usedBy energy analysts
geologists
resource economists
uses cumulative production data
estimated ultimately recoverable resources
logistic function
USPeakObserved around 1970
USPeakPredictedFor around 1970

Referenced by (1)

Full triples — surface form annotated when it differs from this entity's canonical label.

Out of Gas: The End of the Age of Oil explains Hubbert peak theory