vulnerable world hypothesis

E708979

The vulnerable world hypothesis is a speculative idea in risk theory suggesting that technological progress may eventually make it easy for small groups or individuals to cause catastrophic harm, potentially rendering modern civilization extremely fragile.

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Statements (49)

Predicate Object
instanceOf hypothesis about technological risk
idea in risk theory
philosophical hypothesis
speculative hypothesis
addresses existential risk
global catastrophic risk
security implications of emerging technologies
argues if such technologies are discovered, maintaining an open liberal society may become difficult
strong global governance might be required in some technological scenarios
there may be possible technologies that make it easy to cause civilization-ending damage
assumes technological progress continues and explores more of the space of possible inventions
concerns distribution of destructive power
feasibility of large-scale destruction by individuals
future technological capabilities
coreIdea modern civilization may become extremely fragile under certain technological conditions
technological progress may eventually make it easy for small groups or individuals to cause catastrophic harm
critiquedFor potential justification of authoritarian measures
speculative nature
describedIn paper "The Vulnerable World Hypothesis" NERFINISHED
discusses differential technological development
global governance as a potential response to vulnerability
surveillance as a potential response to vulnerability
field existential risk studies
global catastrophic risk
philosophy of technology
risk theory
hasAuthorAffiliation Future of Humanity Institute NERFINISHED
University of Oxford NERFINISHED
implication importance of managing information hazards
need for robust global security institutions
possible tension between security and freedom
includesConcept black ball from an urn of possible technologies
influenced debates on AI governance
discussions of biosecurity policy
influencedBy existential risk literature
nuclear-era security concerns
language English
proposedBy Nick Bostrom NERFINISHED
publicationYear 2018
publishedIn Global Policy NERFINISHED
relatedConcept AI risk
biosecurity
dual-use technology
existential risk
global catastrophic risk
nuclear proliferation
preventive policing
surveillance state
usesMetaphor urn model of technological discovery

Referenced by (1)

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Niklas Boström notableIdea vulnerable world hypothesis