life-cycle income hypothesis

E483087

The life-cycle income hypothesis is an economic theory proposing that individuals plan their consumption and saving behavior over their lifetime to smooth consumption, based on expected lifetime income rather than current income.

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Predicate Object
instanceOf consumption theory
economic theory
microeconomic concept
saving theory
alsoKnownAs life-cycle hypothesis
assumes forward-looking behavior
intertemporal budget constraint
perfect capital markets in basic form
rational expectations about lifetime income
utility maximization over the life cycle
coreIdea consumption depends on expected lifetime income
consumption is smoother than current income
individuals plan consumption over their lifetime
saving is used to smooth consumption over time
criticizedFor assuming perfect foresight or rational expectations
ignoring liquidity constraints in basic form
limited treatment of behavioral biases
developedInDecade 1950s
empiricalIssue excess sensitivity of consumption to current income
insufficient decumulation of wealth in old age
extendedBy behavioral life-cycle models
models with liquidity constraints
precautionary saving models
field economics
household finance
macroeconomics
microeconomics
influenced modern consumption-based asset pricing
overlapping generations models
keyVariable expected lifetime resources
human wealth
non-human wealth
mathematicalFormulation intertemporal utility maximization subject to lifetime budget constraint
predicts aggregate saving depends on demographic structure
consumption responds less than proportionally to temporary income changes
middle-aged individuals save during high-earning years
retired individuals dissave
young individuals borrow or save little
proposedBy Franco Modigliani NERFINISHED
Richard Brumberg NERFINISHED
relatedTo Euler equation for consumption
consumption smoothing
intertemporal choice
permanent income hypothesis
usedIn macroeconomic consumption functions
models of household saving behavior
pension system analysis
wealth accumulation studies

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Franco Modigliani notableIdea life-cycle income hypothesis