Lucas supply function

E455410

The Lucas supply function is an economic model developed by Robert Lucas Jr. that explains how producers’ output decisions respond to perceived price changes under imperfect information, forming a key component of new classical macroeconomics.

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Statements (46)

Predicate Object
instanceOf economic model
macroeconomic theory component
addresses expectations and information in macroeconomic fluctuations
assumes agents have rational expectations about aggregate variables
agents know the structure of the economy
information is imperfect and dispersed
market-clearing prices
no systematic money illusion but temporary misperceptions
producers observe nominal prices but not the aggregate price level perfectly
shocks are partly unobservable when decisions are made
basedOn imperfect information
rational expectations
componentOf Lucas misperceptions model NERFINISHED
contrastsWith Keynesian aggregate supply with nominal rigidities
coreIdea producers confuse relative price changes with aggregate price level changes
criticizes traditional Phillips curve as a stable trade-off
describes relationship between output and unexpected price changes
developedBy Robert Lucas Jr. NERFINISHED
explains how producers respond to perceived price changes
output deviations from natural level due to information problems
field macroeconomics
new classical macroeconomics
historicalContext developed in the 1970s
implies anticipated monetary policy is neutral with respect to real output
only unanticipated monetary shocks affect real output in the short run
influenced modern macroeconomic modeling of supply
influencedBy Friedman’s expectations-augmented Phillips curve NERFINISHED
inMacroeconomicModel aggregate supply curve with expectations term
mathematicalForm y = y* + α(p - E[p])
namedAfter Robert Lucas Jr. NERFINISHED
parameter α (sensitivity of output to unexpected price changes)
relatedConcept monetary neutrality in the long run
rational expectations revolution
signal extraction problem
unanticipated monetary shocks
relatesTo short-run aggregate supply
roleInTheory foundation for new classical aggregate supply analysis
supports policy ineffectiveness proposition under rational expectations
usedFor analyzing effects of monetary policy under rational expectations
explaining short-run non-neutrality of money with imperfect information
usedIn Lucas islands model NERFINISHED
new classical business cycle theory
variable E[p] (expected price level or expected log of price level)
p (actual price level or log of price level)
y (actual output)
y* (natural level of output)

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Robert Lucas Jr. notableConcept Lucas supply function