prospect theory
E129165
Prospect theory is a behavioral economic framework that explains how people actually make decisions under risk and uncertainty, highlighting systematic deviations from the predictions of classical expected utility theory.
All labels observed (4)
| Label | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| prospect theory canonical | 4 |
| cumulative prospect theory | 2 |
| Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk | 1 |
| Prospect theory | 1 |
Statements (51)
| Predicate | Object |
|---|---|
| instanceOf |
behavioral economic theory
ⓘ
decision-making theory ⓘ theory of choice under risk ⓘ |
| addresses |
Allais paradox
ⓘ
St. Petersburg paradox qualitatively ⓘ |
| assumes | outcomes are evaluated as gains or losses relative to a reference point ⓘ |
| basisFor |
prospect theory
self-linksurface differs
ⓘ
surface form:
cumulative prospect theory
|
| contrastsWith |
expected utility theory (with John von Neumann)
ⓘ
surface form:
expected utility theory
|
| coreConcept |
diminishing sensitivity
ⓘ
loss aversion ⓘ probability weighting ⓘ reference dependence ⓘ |
| criticizesAssumption |
linear probability weighting
ⓘ
outcome evaluation in terms of final wealth levels ⓘ perfect rationality ⓘ |
| developedBy |
Amos Tversky
ⓘ
Daniel Kahneman (honorary doctorate, not student) ⓘ
surface form:
Daniel Kahneman
|
| empiricalSupport |
field studies
ⓘ
laboratory experiments ⓘ |
| explains |
decision-making under risk
ⓘ
decision-making under uncertainty ⓘ systematic deviations from expected utility ⓘ |
| extendedBy |
prospect theory
self-linksurface differs
ⓘ
surface form:
cumulative prospect theory
|
| field |
behavioral economics
ⓘ
psychology ⓘ |
| includesComponent |
probability weighting function
ⓘ
value function ⓘ |
| influenced |
behavioral economics
ⓘ
surface form:
behavioral finance
health economics ⓘ insurance demand modeling ⓘ marketing ⓘ public policy design ⓘ |
| predicts |
endowment effect
ⓘ
framing effects ⓘ preference reversals ⓘ reflection effect ⓘ risk aversion over gains ⓘ risk seeking over losses ⓘ status quo bias ⓘ |
| probabilityWeightingProperty |
overweights small probabilities
ⓘ
underweights moderate and large probabilities ⓘ |
| publicationYear | 1979 ⓘ |
| publishedIn | Econometrica ⓘ |
| states | losses loom larger than gains of equal magnitude ⓘ |
| titleOfSeminalPaper |
prospect theory
self-linksurface differs
ⓘ
surface form:
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
|
| usedFor |
explaining insurance purchase decisions
ⓘ
explaining lottery participation ⓘ modeling investor behavior ⓘ |
| valueFunctionProperty | steeper for losses than for gains ⓘ |
| valueFunctionShape |
concave over gains
ⓘ
convex over losses ⓘ |
Referenced by (8)
Full triples — surface form annotated when it differs from this entity's canonical label.
subject surface form:
expected utility theory
subject surface form:
Prospect theory
this entity surface form:
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
subject surface form:
Prospect theory
this entity surface form:
cumulative prospect theory
subject surface form:
Prospect theory
this entity surface form:
cumulative prospect theory
subject surface form:
Daniel Kahneman
this entity surface form:
Prospect theory
subject surface form:
Daniel Kahneman