prospect theory

E129165

Prospect theory is a behavioral economic framework that explains how people actually make decisions under risk and uncertainty, highlighting systematic deviations from the predictions of classical expected utility theory.

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All labels observed (4)

Statements (51)

Predicate Object
instanceOf behavioral economic theory
decision-making theory
theory of choice under risk
addresses Allais paradox
St. Petersburg paradox qualitatively
assumes outcomes are evaluated as gains or losses relative to a reference point
basisFor prospect theory self-linksurface differs
surface form: cumulative prospect theory
contrastsWith expected utility theory (with John von Neumann)
surface form: expected utility theory
coreConcept diminishing sensitivity
loss aversion
probability weighting
reference dependence
criticizesAssumption linear probability weighting
outcome evaluation in terms of final wealth levels
perfect rationality
developedBy Amos Tversky
Daniel Kahneman (honorary doctorate, not student)
surface form: Daniel Kahneman
empiricalSupport field studies
laboratory experiments
explains decision-making under risk
decision-making under uncertainty
systematic deviations from expected utility
extendedBy prospect theory self-linksurface differs
surface form: cumulative prospect theory
field behavioral economics
psychology
includesComponent probability weighting function
value function
influenced behavioral economics
surface form: behavioral finance

health economics
insurance demand modeling
marketing
public policy design
predicts endowment effect
framing effects
preference reversals
reflection effect
risk aversion over gains
risk seeking over losses
status quo bias
probabilityWeightingProperty overweights small probabilities
underweights moderate and large probabilities
publicationYear 1979
publishedIn Econometrica
states losses loom larger than gains of equal magnitude
titleOfSeminalPaper prospect theory self-linksurface differs
surface form: Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
usedFor explaining insurance purchase decisions
explaining lottery participation
modeling investor behavior
valueFunctionProperty steeper for losses than for gains
valueFunctionShape concave over gains
convex over losses

Referenced by (8)

Full triples — surface form annotated when it differs from this entity's canonical label.

expected utility theory (with John von Neumann) criticizedBy prospect theory
subject surface form: expected utility theory
prospect theory titleOfSeminalPaper prospect theory self-linksurface differs
subject surface form: Prospect theory
this entity surface form: Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
prospect theory basisFor prospect theory self-linksurface differs
subject surface form: Prospect theory
this entity surface form: cumulative prospect theory
prospect theory extendedBy prospect theory self-linksurface differs
subject surface form: Prospect theory
this entity surface form: cumulative prospect theory
Daniel Kahneman (honorary doctorate, not student) notableWork prospect theory
subject surface form: Daniel Kahneman
this entity surface form: Prospect theory
Daniel Kahneman (honorary doctorate, not student) knownFor prospect theory
subject surface form: Daniel Kahneman
behavioral economics studies prospect theory
behavioral economics hasKeyConcept prospect theory