Triple
T15742252
| Position | Surface form | Disambiguated ID | Type / Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Truth and Probability |
E381628
|
entity |
| Predicate | introducesConcept |
P201
|
FINISHED |
| Object | Dutch book argument |
E1174206
|
NE FINISHED |
How this triple was built (2 steps)
Every LLM step that produced this triple, in pipeline order — named-entity classification, the disambiguation choices (the exact options shown, with the pick highlighted), and the generated description. The batch + timestamp of each is in the Provenance table below.
NER
Named-entity recognition
gpt-5-mini
Instruction
Given a phrase, classify it is english named entity (e.g., persons, organizations, works of art) in Latin script, or not (e.g., literals, dates, URLs, verbose phrases). For disambiguation, the statement where the phrase occurs as object is also given. Please return a JSON object with `phrase` (string, the phrase being analyzed) and `is_ne` (boolean, indicating whether the phrase is a Named Entity).
Input
Phrase: Dutch book argument | Statement: [Truth and Probability, introducesConcept, Dutch book argument]
NED1
Entity disambiguation (via context triple)
gpt-5-mini-2025-08-07
Target entity: Dutch book argument Context triple: [Truth and Probability, introducesConcept, Dutch book argument]
-
A.
Dutch book arguments
chosen
Dutch book arguments are philosophical and mathematical reasoning tools used to justify the coherence of subjective probabilities by showing that violating probability axioms exposes an agent to guaranteed losses in betting scenarios.
-
B.
Logical Foundations of Probability
Logical Foundations of Probability is a seminal philosophical work by Rudolf Carnap that develops a rigorous logical and formal account of probability and inductive reasoning.
-
C.
Truth and Probability
Truth and Probability is a foundational 1926 essay by philosopher F. P. Ramsey that develops a subjective theory of probability and lays groundwork for modern Bayesian decision theory.
-
D.
Ellsberg paradox
The Ellsberg paradox is a famous problem in decision theory and economics that demonstrates how people’s choices often violate expected utility theory due to ambiguity aversion.
-
E.
essays on probability and induction
"Essays on Probability and Induction" is a collection of philosophical papers by Carl G. Hempel that explores the logical and methodological foundations of probabilistic reasoning and inductive inference in science.
- F. None of above.
- G. Unsure - the case is ambiguous/there is not enough information to decide.
Provenance (3 batches)
The batch behind each pipeline step, in order, with when it ran. Timestamps are batch-level — stages were processed in waves, so the object chain (NER → NED1 → NEDg → NED2) reads in order, but predicate / elicitation batches can sit in a different wave.
| Step | Stage | Batch ID | Status | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| creating | Elicitation | batch_69d86d9cdb648190bf3171be0bd7d872 |
completed | April 10, 2026, 3:25 a.m. |
| NER | Named-entity recognition | batch_69e04fd97d6c8190b2fa6ca422bfe512 |
completed | April 16, 2026, 2:56 a.m. |
| NED1 | Entity disambiguation (via context triple) | batch_69ff876b7fd081909d84ebe7a4cdb675 |
completed | May 9, 2026, 7:13 p.m. |
Created at: April 10, 2026, 4:46 a.m.